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4 problems match “expected value”. Clear

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  1. Expected consecutive pairs in a subset ●●○○○ 20 ptsA 25-element subset is chosen uniformly at random from {1,2,…,100}\{1,2,\ldots,100\}. Find the expected number of pairs (i,i+1)(i,i+1) of consecutive integers for which both ii and i+1i+1 lie in the subset.
  2. Optimal bid for an object ●●●○○ 50 ptsThe owner's value VV of an object is uniformly distributed on [0,100][0, 100] dollars, and its value to you is 1.8V1.8V. You make one sealed bid of bb dollars. If bb is more than the owner's value, he sells it to you and you pay bb; otherwise you get nothing. Choose bb to maximise your expected profit. What bid bb (in dollars) should you make?
  3. Draws to see all six unique balls ●●●○○ 50 ptsA jar contains 66 white balls and 6 unique balls: 1 red, 1 blue, 1 green, 1 purple, 1 yellow and 1 cyan. Balls are drawn one at a time, each ball is returned to the jar after it is drawn, and the colours are recorded. What is the expected number of draws needed until all 6 uniquely coloured balls have been seen at least once?
  4. Expected people until first birthday match ●●●●○ 100 ptsAssume birthdays are independent and uniformly distributed over 365 days. People are questioned one at a time. Find the expected number of people questioned until the first person shares a birthday with someone already questioned (this person is counted). Round to two decimal places.